We are approaching the crucial phase of the season and Brendanās career.
The consensus seems to be that either we will end the season in 5th place with nothing or we will win the FA cup.
I am a fan of the manager, but, if the first of those options come to pass the owners will have to take a long hard look at the direction at which we are heading. As I have pointed out before we can reasonably expect to come fifth given the financial disparity we have with our rivals but the strategy we are pursuing is to punch above our weight.
Another season without winning anything will put the managerās position under pressure. The football we are playing can be nice to watch, and at times explosive, however the mark that separates a good manager from an also-ran is the ability to drag the team over the winning line. We have not done that enough in the clutch matches or those against the top teams. The problem of our naĆÆve play remains our biggest issue.
As we know, itās important to win minor competitions on the road towards winning the major ones. An FA cup victory would boost confidence throughout the entire team and give us a platform from which we could push on. That job starts with Villa on the 19th then is likely to conclude against Arsenal on the 30th May. Chances of success I would put at around 35% from this point.
But there is another, bigger prize.
We have consistently seen arguments that the ā4th place cupā means nothing but consider what would happen if we were to beat either United or City to 4th ā unlikely but still possible. First of all it would make a massive difference for the future of the club. Players want to come here to play in the Champions League. The money we would gain to reinvest in the squad would be massive. Secondly it would mean a big setback for either of the Manchester clubs. In Unitedās case, potentially a generational setback. Thirdly, and most importantly, it would mean that we had put together a consistent run of form meaning we had won pretty much all of our remaining games and sustaining pressure on our rivals.
The likelihood of us achieving this is about 5% therefore, if Brendan could pull it off, it would demonstrate a much greater achievement than winning the FA cup and with a greater prize at the end. Because the odds are so low, the pressure should be off and we should be able to play like we have nothing to lose.
Winning sequences of pressure matches is what the job is all about at this level. How the team approaches this phase of the season will tell us a lot about whether Brendan is the right man for the job in the long term.
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