I think 75 points is enough (which is ridiculously high for a top 4 spot) which means 27 points.
Could be less if we get 4 points from United and Arsenal which i think we will. We will beat ManU and should get something from the Arsenal game.
EDIT: Just realised the ManU game is on my birthday again. That fixture is always in the third week of March.
Again, this is mathematically impossible that the 4th team finishes on 75 points. I give youse example:
Chelsea win all their reminding games.
City win all their reminding games.
Arsenal win all their reminding games except for game vs Chelsea.
United win all their reminding games except for games vs Chelsea, City and Arsenal.
Top four final table:
Chelsea 60+36 96
City 55+33 88
Arsenal 51+30 81
United 50+24 74
This is scenario where 74 points is needed for 4th place. But thats as likely scenario as I hit the jackpot tomorrow.
Given our quallity and form just beating City, we are not going to lose all three remaining games vs teams above us.
Given quallity and aspirations of Spurs and Saints, they are not going to lose all remaining games against teams above them.
Given nature of PL, these current top 4 teams, esp. Arsenal and United, will not win all their remaining games against bottom half.
Many twists and turns yet, but what Im saying is, its just not possible that the 4th team finishes on 74 points or higher. 72 tops
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