Doing some figuring with the table.
If we win all 4 I don't think we fall out of 4th at all.
If we only win 3 (land on 75 points), and the following happened:
Arse beat LC, Soton, Stoke, Sunderland, Everton and draw United, total of 73 points
United beat City, Swansea, Soton, Palace and draw Arsenal, total of 76 points
City beat MD, Palace, LC, WB, Watford, total of 79 points
Spurs beat everyone, total of 89 points
Then we'd finish 5th.
3 wins and a draw would have us even with United in the above scenario which means goal difference becomes a factor (we are up 2 right now).
I don't think there's anyway that United beat Tottenham. Also, they have Europa League to worry about and they are without Zlatan and maybe Pogba. Do they prioritize the league now, or do they stick with Europa as their way in and forget about the league for the most part?
I think I've been awful accommodating of city in the above scenario as well, having them only lose to United and pick up all available points otherwise. If they beat United, that puts them above us by more, but also knocks United's tally down by 3 which puts us back ahead of them even with a loss.
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